More data is emerging about coronavirus infections and it is getting fuzzier instead of more informative.
Our political leaders have led us to believe they have incredible knowledge about the coronavirus, including how we get sick, how many are sick, transmission vectors, spread rates, etc. etc. As time passes there is an increasing amount of data that suggests the understanding of the virus is fuzzier than we have been told.
Merely a few of the recent articles pointing out the uncertainty surrounding the virus:
- Officials across Europe (and New York City) are not able to figure out how most people catch the bug.
- Estimated 1/5th of New York City residents were infected by early March, at the very beginning of the pandemic.
- Estimated 1/8th of Orange County, California residents were infected by the end of the summer, far higher than the reported positive test rate.
11/15/20 – Wall Street Journal – As Covid-19 Surges, the Big Unknown Is Where People Are Getting Infected – Health authorities are having difficulty figuring out where people are catching the coronavirus.
Statistics on the percentage of cases that can be traced to a source: